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第206期:在新冠病毒源头问题上世界也面临着两种道路的选择

原文出处: 衍射 2020年10月28

https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/k52dfc1DinbxxBSnhVH13g

Issue 206: The world is also facing two road choices regarding the source of the new crown virus COVID-19

Original: Diffraction Dec. 28, 2020

东方-时事云评【第20201029-206期】

10月 28 日
今年年初
当中国最先检测到新冠病毒并果断采取有效防疫措施封城时
许多西方媒体就立刻假想“这场疫情将成为中国的切尔诺贝利”
诸如纽约时报这些个西方媒体几乎一致高呼中国封城是破坏人权
而当意大利也封城时
还是那个纽约时报、却猛夸其为果敢
“双标”被西方媒体玩到了如此程度
当时玩“双标”正嗨的西媒浑然不知自家早已深陷这场新冠大危机当中
抱着看说笑话的心态大玩“国际驰名双标”
经过半年时间的煎熬
恐怕这些西媒的小编与老板们、都早已没心情“玩双标”了
因为新冠疫情还了他们一个“双标”

我们对澳媒曾发表的
“如果共产党给西方上了一课呢?”的“恐惧之问”记忆犹新
事实上中国对疫情的成功防控
通过十一黄金周6.5亿人次出游,国内旅游收入4665.6亿元
期间全国零售和餐饮重点监测企业销售额约1.6万亿元的数据
已经得到全面证实
至于青岛5天完成1092万份核酸检测
尤其是迅速控制了疫情等等
足以证明共产党不光给西方上了一课
还给全世界的人民都上了生动的一课

此时的中国在西方媒体看来更多的是羡慕
纽约时报网站10月14日更是刊载题为
《新冠没有成为中国的切尔诺贝利,却成了美国的滑铁卢》一文
10月19日
中国国家统计局公布了三季度经济数据
多个指标由负转正前三季度GDP同比增长0.7%
表明中国经济正延续稳定恢复态势
即便是“做人不能太CNN”的CNN、也直言不讳表示中国经济被全世界羡慕
英国新驻华大使边唱着中国赞歌边赴京上任
与此同时英国情报高官大谈中国威胁论
可见对方仍然在奉行政治特别是安全层面与中国保持高度对抗
因此,它们对中国的羡慕自然会带着更多的嫉妒

值得注意的是
10月19日,俄罗斯联邦安全会议发布消息表示
俄安全会议专家认为人为制造病毒感染流行是可能发生的
俄罗斯从官方层面正式确认此事
意味俄罗斯将会全面参与未来即将启动的相关进程中
进程与方向一是向全面甩锅中国的方向发展
从而出现所谓的新冠版本的南亚破局
进程与方向二则是被迫与中国全面合作
以共同抗击疫情,向共同恢复经济的方向发展
从而全球局势将导向“中东全面破局”的“全球大民主”的多极局面

尽管距离西方全面追究中国责任还有稍许距离
但蓬佩奥也早已公然叫嚣要建立一个全球反华联盟
美国一些政客也喊出过让中国为传播病毒付出代价的无耻言论
经过时间的进一步发酵
外媒从今天的羡慕嫉妒转化为
配合美国政客掀起的新一轮反华浪潮

如果俄罗斯,甚至伊朗,日本,韩国等
都加入这一反华浪潮从而形成“新冠版本的南亚破局”的污流
这个概率不仅存在且不小
但由于我们有“最低经济内循环”作为保障
“新冠版本南亚破局”对中国并无法构成实质性伤害
我们真正要警惕的是
对方在把其切换为“传统层面的南亚破局”的进程中
会在中国周边构成金融防火墙、搞封锁线、搞三独
这样对中国就会构成比较实质性的伤害

作为应对方案
第一中国会绝对控制南海,进一步夯实最低内循环
第二如果可以就此拿回台湾,废掉美元
进而启动并升级最低内循环模式
而东南亚或将是第一个进入升级序列的地区
那时的全球经济早已经是满地鸡毛
世界上的任何国家总要“吃饭”
而西方除了造谣之外还能提供什么?
而中国的国庆长假已经将一个“旅游版本最低限度经济内循环”赫然展示在世人面前
而“旅游版本”只不过是、包括“5G商用版本的中国最低经济内循环”等、诸多脚本中的一个
经过了多年的扎实准备,中国现在就摊牌的自信比2014年就摊牌要强大得多

10月19日
俄罗斯列瓦达中心进行的民调显示
俄罗斯历史中最令俄人民感到耻辱和痛心的事件为苏联解体
49%受访者持此观点,为最近20年最高指数
对此东方时事解读不禁要问
既然如此之多的俄罗斯人对苏联解体感到痛心
那为什么你们还要允许
类似戈尔巴乔夫这样的“第五纵队”在俄罗斯存在并极其活跃呢?
这是否也能揭示为什么俄罗斯
在诸多重大国际事件的决策中一错再错不吸取教训的深层次原因?
在东方时事解读看来,本身之上
我们总说俄罗斯总是相信自己愿意相信的事情
戈尔巴乔夫如此,叶利钦如此,普京难道不是如此吗?
由此可见,本质上,普京与戈尔巴乔夫走的是一条路
只不过走的方法不一样,有急有缓而已

之所以俄罗斯目前仍然没有彻底倒向西方
恐怕并非是其不认同西方的“民主理念”
而仅在于利益分配不到位而已
此外鉴于局势的微妙性
一方面惧怕中俄战略互信解体
另一方面对中美(西)彻底摊牌俄罗斯满血复活充满期待
俄罗斯在其对外政策的表现上仍在尽力维持某种平衡
而这种心态也在其疫苗生产的问题上表现的淋漓尽致
 10月19日
俄罗斯表示俄新冠疫苗“卫星-V”
将在印度、巴西、韩国、中国及“另一国家”生产
其中俄罗斯未明确说明的“另一国家”或就是朝鲜
俄罗斯之所以在这些国家生产疫苗
就是为了让这些国家使用俄罗斯的疫苗
到目前为止,世界范围内有能力研制出疫苗的似乎只有中国、或者再加上一个俄罗斯

我们注意到
在俄罗斯的疫苗生产国名单中有巴西这个国家
此前中国疫苗在巴西进行临床三期试验取得非常好的效果
获得巴西医务人员的信任
但在东方时事解读的观察与评估中
我们很早就强调
巴西能否最终全面使用中国疫苗并非“板上钉钉”
由于西方对巴西的政局渗透极深
中国疫苗能否在巴西开花结果恐怕两说

恰恰在前几天
巴西总统就以经费不足的原因拒绝购买中国疫苗
如此便是“只开花不结果”了
那“果”谁来送呢?俄罗斯的疫苗恰好来了
正如巴西国内一些专家明言
巴西政府某些政要以各种理由拒绝购买中国疫苗
就是一种政治态度;就是政治因素问题
所以巴西这样的国家一定在“落水捞人”的行列之中

除了巴西之外,俄罗斯的疫苗生产国名单上还有印度
印度虽然号称是“医药大国”
但其“医药大国”的背后恐怕隐藏着不为人知的与西方的肮脏交易
具体是什么交易在此就不多说了
地球人都懂的
因此印度被西方“恩赐”可以仿制西方的药物
但印度只能是一个药物生产大国
其在药物科研方面的力量却极为薄弱

俄罗斯在疫苗生产的问题上同样展现出两种选择方案
一方面;在西方在新冠疫情源头问题上“群起甩锅”中国的问题上
其或以“我非中国”(变相加入“甩锅中国”行列)为由
与其同流合污并在巴西、印度等国家生产俄罗斯疫苗
另一方面也在向西方大打“中国牌”
摆出准备深化与中国抗疫合作的姿态
并借助中国的实力向全世界提供疫苗供应
而这份产能不仅来源于疫情全面控制的中国
同样也会来自于那个俄罗斯未曾提及的“神秘国家”——朝鲜
如果真的是这样
意味着俄罗斯在宣示“瘟疫(生物战)有人为的可能”之后
其“身体”开始慢慢靠向中国,靠向国际社会
这无疑是我们欢迎的
但最终是否如此!我们只能拭目以待
在进一步的结果出来之前
对俄罗斯仍然是“有希望,不指望 ,外加高度警惕”!

 

In the beginning of this year
When China first detected the COVID-19 virus and resolutely took effective epidemic prevention measures to close the city
Many Western media immediately assumed that "this epidemic will become China's Chernobyl."
Western media, such as the New York Times, have almost unanimously called that the closure of Chinese cities is a violation of human rights
And when Italy also closed cities
Still the New York Times, but appraised that it's bold
"Double Standard" has been played to such an extent by Western media
At that time, the western media, who were playing "double standard", didn't know that they were already in the crisis of the COVID-19
Play "international famous double standard" with the mentality of watching and telling jokes
After half a year of suffering
I'm afraid these western media editors and bosses are not in the mood to "play Double Standard"
Because the new epidemic situation gave them a "double mark"

We have published
"What if the Communist Party taught the west a lesson?" "The question of fear" is still fresh in our memories
In fact, China's successful prevention and control of the epidemic
Through the National Day golden week, 650 million people traveled, and the domestic tourism revenue reached 466.56 billion yuan
During this period, the national retail and catering key monitoring enterprise sales data of about 1.6 trillion yuan
It has been fully confirmed
Qingdao completed 10.92 million nucleic acid tests in five days
In particular, the epidemic was quickly controlled
It is enough to prove that the Communist Party has not only taught the west a lesson
It also taught a vivid lesson to people all over the world

At this time, China in the eyes of the western media is more envious
On October 14, the New York Times website published
"The COVID-19 did not become China's Chernobyl, but became the Waterloo of the United States"
October 19th
China's National Bureau of Statistics released economic data for the third quarter
GDP in the first three quarters increased by 0.7% year on year
It shows that China's economy is continuing to recover steadily
Even CNN, which is "not too CNN to be a man", also said frankly that China's economy was envied by the whole world
The new British ambassador to China sang the praises of China while taking office in Beijing
At the same time, senior British information officials talked about China's threat theory
It can be seen that the other side is still pursuing politics, especially at the security level, maintaining a high degree of confrontation with China
Therefore, their envy of China will naturally bring more jealousy

Please note that
On October 19, the Russian Federation security conference released a message saying that
Experts at the Russian security conference believe that human made virus infection is likely to occur
Russia officially confirmed the matter from the official level
It means that Russia will fully participate in the relevant process to be launched in the future
The first is towards the direction of shifting the blame to China completely
Thus the so-called COVID-19 version of South Asia break
The other is forced to cooperate with China in an all-round way
To jointly fight against the epidemic and develop in the direction of common economic recovery
Thus, the global situation will lead to the multipolar situation of "global democracy" with "the Middle East comprehensively breaking down"

Although there is still a short way to go before the West fully investigates China's responsibility
But Pompeo has already openly called for the establishment of a global Anti-China Alliance
Some politicians in the United States have also called out shameless remarks that make China pay the price for spreading the virus
After time of further fermentation
Foreign media from today's envy and jealousy into
In line with the new wave of Anti-China launched by American politicians

If Russia, even Iran, Japan, South Korea, etc
They all joined the Anti-China wave and formed a "COVID-19 version of South Asia Break"
This probability exists and is not small
But because we have a "minimum economic cycle" as a guarantee
"COVID-19 version of South Asia break" cannot cause substantial harm to China
What we really need to be alert to is
The other side is in the process of switching to "the traditional level of South Asia Break"
It will form a financial firewall, a blockade line and three independence activities around China
These will cause substantial harm to China

As a response plan
First, China will absolutely control the South China Sea and further consolidate the minimum internal circulation
Second, if we can take it back to Taiwan and scrap the US dollar
Then start and upgrade the minimum internal circulation mode
Southeast Asia may be the first region to enter the upgrade sequence
At that time, the global economy was already covered with chicken feathers
Any country in the world always needs to eat
And what else can the West offer besides rumor?
China's National Day holiday has put a "tourism version of the minimum economic cycle" in front of the world
The "tourism version" is just one of many scripts, including "5g commercial version of China's lowest economic cycle"
After years of solid preparation, China's confidence in showdown now is much stronger than that in 2014

October 19th
According to a poll conducted by the Levada center in Russia
The most humiliating and painful event in Russian history is the disintegration of the Soviet Union
49% of respondents hold this view, which is the highest index in the last 20 years
Dongfang Time can't help asking
Since so many Russians are distressed by the collapse of the Soviet Union
Then why do you still allow
the "fifth column" like Gorbachev exist and are extremely active in Russia?
Can this also reveal the deep-seated reasons why Russia has repeatedly made mistakes and failed to learn lessons in many major international events?
In Dongfang Time’ opinion, it is above itself
We always say that Russia always believes in what it wants to believe
Gorbachev, Yeltsin and Putin?
It can be seen that, in essence, Putin and Gorbachev are on the same path
It's just that the method of walking is different. There are urgency and slowness

The reason why Russia is still not completely turning to the West
I'm afraid it's not that he doesn't agree with western "democratic ideas"
But only because the distribution of interests is not in place
Moreover, given the delicacy of the situation
On the one hand, they fear the disintegration of strategic mutual trust between China and Russia
On the other hand, they are looking forward to a complete showdown between China and the United States (West), and Russia's full blood resurrection
Russia is still trying to maintain a certain balance in its foreign policy performance
And this kind of mentality also displays incisively and vividly in its vaccine production question

October 19th
Russia says Russia's COVID-19 vaccine "satellite-v"
It will be produced in India, Brazil, South Korea, China and "another country"
Among them, the "other country" that Russia did not specify and it perhaps is North Korea
The reason why Russia produces vaccines in these countries
It's to get these countries to use the Russian vaccine
So far, it seems that only China, or Russia, has the ability to develop vaccines worldwide

We noticed that
Brazil is on the list of vaccine producers in Russia
Previously, China's vaccine in Brazil for the third phase of clinical trials, achieved very good results
Gain the trust of Brazilian medical staff
But in the observation and evaluation of Dongfang Time
We've been emphasizing that for a long time
Whether Brazil can finally fully use the Chinese vaccine is not a certainty
Due to the deep penetration of the western political situation in Brazil
I'm afraid there are two opinions on whether China's vaccine can blossom and bear fruit in Brazil

Just a few days ago
Brazil's president refused to buy Chinese vaccines for lack of funds
In this way, we can only blossom but not bear fruit
Who will deliver the fruit? The Russian vaccine just arrived
As some experts in Brazil have said
Some Brazilian government officials refused to buy Chinese vaccines for various reasons
It is a kind of political attitude; it is a question of political factors
So countries like Brazil must be in the ranks of "catching people in the water"

In addition to Brazil, Russia has India on its list of vaccine producers
Although India is known as a "pharmaceutical power"
But behind its "pharmaceutical power", I'm afraid there is a dirty deal with the West
I won't say much about the transaction
Everyone on earth knows that
Therefore, India is "gifted" by the west to imitate western medicine
But India can only be a big drug producer
Its strength in drug research is extremely weak

Russia also shows two options for vaccine production
On the one hand, on the issue of the west "collectively shifting the blame (the source of the COVID-19 blame)" to China
And Russia may use "I am not China" (disguised to join the gangs of "shifting the blame to China") as an excuse
And involved in the production of Russian vaccines in Brazil, India and other countries
On the other hand, they are playing the "China card" to the West
Show off preparing to deepen the anti-epidemic cooperation with China
And with China's strength to provide vaccine supply to the world
And this capacity does not only come from China, where the epidemic is under comprehensive control
It will also come from North Korea, a "mysterious country" not mentioned by Russia
If that's true
It means that Russia has declared that "there is man-made possibility of plague (biological warfare)"
Its "body" began to lean towards China and the international community
This is undoubtedly welcome
But in the end, we can only wait and see
Before further results are available
Russia is still "hopeful, not expected, and highly vigilant"!

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