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第194期:中国经济最低限度内循环的启动与升级、一带一路实铺的准备步伐没有因为与西方斗争而有丝毫停歇

原文出处: 衍射 2020年10月20日

https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/F17FaRoQGlNrWKZFyHS16w

Issue 194: The start and upgrade of the minimum internal cycle of China's economy, and the preparations for the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative have not stopped at all because of the struggle with the West

Original: Diffraction Dec.20,2020

东方-时事云评【第20201020-194期】

10月12日

中国与柬埔寨正式签署自由贸易协定

中国商务部官员称

该协定货物贸易自由化和服务市场准入

都达到目前中国自贸协定最高缔约水平

中柬自贸协定最引人注目之处

在于它刷新了一连串纪录,创下了多个“第一”

这是中国与最不发达国家签署的第一个自贸协定

这是疫情发生以来中国签署的第一个自贸协定

这是双方迄今为止市场开放程度最高的自贸协定

这是第一个将“一带一路”倡议合作独立设章的自贸协定

 

柬埔寨是世界上对华友好的国家之一

这几年跟我国的合作也越来越紧密

看到中柬如此“铁”的关系,让得到国际反华势力支持的柬国内反对派势力十分不满

大肆宣传柬埔寨已经抛弃中国亲美,企图想将中柬正常交往抹黑

进而达到遏制中国的目的

10月13日,柬埔寨首相表示

除了中国,没有任何国家会给本国提供如此大的帮助

 

柬埔寨是东盟成员国之一

在东盟框架内对中国提供了很多的帮助

比如前段时间,越南、菲律宾甚至新加坡在东盟框架内

提出很多反华议案、特别是关于南海的提案

最后都被柬埔寨一票否决

虽然柬埔寨是个贫穷的小国

但中国和他之间是平等、互助、友好的关系

 

在这个基础上,中国跟柬埔寨签署自贸协议

就是做出这样一个宣示

即便中国经济以后走最低内循环

只要柬埔寨愿意跟中国一起走共同富裕的道路

中国可以对他保底

这在东盟内有示范效应,有点类似于朝鲜

而在此之前,我们恰恰着重提到两个国家,一个是朝鲜,一个就是柬埔寨

我们说中国有可能这样去帮助柬埔寨

但对于其它国家,即便是巴基斯坦我们可没这样说过

 

在今年2月初

国内疫情最严重时刻

柬埔寨首相洪森就表示要访问中国,而且是访问武汉

而当时武汉刚刚封城不久

中国政府出于疫情安全考虑就安排他去了北京

对于这个友情,我们中国当然要记住,滴水之恩要涌泉相报

所以,中国愿意在这个层面上为柬埔寨提供最大的帮助

而柬埔寨也从中国对他的帮助中得到一个感慨

那就是:除了中国,还有哪国愿意帮助我们

 

对于柬埔寨的帮助

一是我们有这个心愿,二是中国有这个能力

只有心愿而没有能力也不行

所以就有了中柬之间就签署了自贸协议

对柬埔寨而言,有了这个自贸协议

他的农产品出口到中国基本上就是零成本

中国也肯定会逐渐加大对其的各种投资

而柬埔寨也会成为中国一带一路的一个标板

另外;这个自由贸易协议

意味着在中国的最低限度的循环在还没有正式开始的时候

就已经外挂了两节车厢,一个是朝鲜;一个是柬埔寨

 

除了柬埔寨之外

中国跟同样是东盟成员之一的老挝也在加速发展关系

中老铁路是泛亚铁路中南半岛大动脉的枢纽段有75座隧道

其中最后一个重点控制工程——相嫩三号隧道近日顺利贯通

而且都是靠中国的资金、技术、人才完成的

这条铁路一直通往马来西亚、甚至新加坡

中国一边跟美国做斗争,一边在实实在在的推一带一路

由于柬埔寨、老挝在中国军事能力覆盖的范围之内

有些项目中国就敢实推

 

就是因为柬埔寨跟中国的关系发展的很好

所以西方要不遗余力的去破坏

日后柬埔寨出现一些不利于中国的新闻也就不足为奇了

毕竟西方在那里也有自己的影响力

但是大体上不会有太大的变化

这就应了毛泽东主席的那句话

敌人捣乱、失败!再捣乱、再失败,直到灭亡

不管他怎么捣乱,结果就在那里

柬埔寨首相说的除了中国,还有哪国愿意帮助我们的这个结论

会被很多国家验证

 

柬埔寨首相这句话

一是体现了对中国的信任

二是体现了对中国能力的肯定

只有信任而没有能力也不行

就像这次席卷全球的新冠疫情,只有中国有能力战胜它

 

对于中国的能力

日本、韩国当然都看在眼里

但是美国(西方)套在他们身上的枷锁太多

再加上他们自己的小九九

必然导致他们的言行跟柬埔寨不一样

只要他们能认识到就行,更何况他们还没有彻底的落水

待到未来经济进一步的下滑之后

他们对此感悟会更加的深刻

日后也很可能会发出像柬埔寨首相洪森那样的感慨

 

10月12日

全球最大的对冲基金——桥水联合基金的创始人

雷蒙德·戴利奥在米尔肯研究所全球会议上

与《纽约时报》专栏作家托马斯·弗里德曼交谈时表示

就各种发展而言,时间站在中国一边,而不是美国一边

 

雷蒙德·戴利奥从各个层面分析

得出时间站在中国一边的结论跟我们是一致的

中国的实力某种意义上讲已经超过了美国,超过了西方

他了解市场,他能看明真相

作为美国的西太的两个锚点日本、韩国当然也能看明白

中国完全控制了疫情,并且经济飞速恢复

对韩日的震撼是显而易见的

在之前,韩国依仗美国

动辄要对朝鲜实施斩首行动

可是现在都不提了

这就是朝鲜半岛的常规力量再平衡的意义所在,形势比人强

 

10月11日、12日晚

央视《焦点访谈》栏目连续进行报道,披露了台湾间谍案件详情

10月13日晚

《焦点访谈》再度进行专题报道《“学术”交流中的阴谋》

披露了两起藏在“学术交流”中的台湾间谍案件

 

连续报道破获间谍案件

就是告诉善良的中国人民

各种各样形形色色的基金会都是带着面具的

他们的共同目的就是颠覆我们的国家

剥夺我们发展的权利,不让我们过上好日子

某种意义上讲,台湾间谍案还会涉及到香港

中国已经启动了挤香港问题脓包的进程

解放台湾是挤香港问题脓包进程的最后一头驴

 

美国在台积电问题上往后退

企图通过调整内外问题的节奏以实现南亚破局

但是,中国也在瞄着兜底方案在多条线上调整节奏

用中国的节奏去干扰美国(西方)的节奏

当中国的节奏一步一步指向兜底方案的时候

就会令对方心惊胆战

 

虽然我们在瞄着兜底调整节奏

但是我们并不想现在就使用兜底方案

我们之所以瞄着兜底方案做准备

就是因为美国围绕对外、对内两个进程在调整节奏

在围绕中国做各种准备,所以中国必须要做出最坏的准备

中国的节奏美国不能打乱

但是美国的节奏却总是每每被中国严重冲击

在这种情况下,美国找节奏的意义还有几分?

 

站在中国的角度

美国(西方)如此挣扎的唯一结果就是陪着中国撕日历

即便美国(西方)最后逼迫俄罗斯在南亚表态而实现了南亚破局

回头一看,西太安全框架可能已经成为历史

中国在这个时候做各种准备,包括军事演习

特别是展示了无人机、人工智能的作战模式

就是要冲击对方的心理的方式告诉他们

围绕中国所做的努力本质上都是徒劳的

就像美国桥水基金创始人用事实说服自己、说服同僚去明白:

时间的确在中国那边

 

声明:具体内容上如有出入,先以《东方时代环球时事解读·时事节简版》为基准;其次以《东方时代环球时事解读·时事漫谈》为参考。

 

Dongfang Time Cloud Review [Issue 20201020-194]

 

October 12
China and Cambodia formally sign a free trade agreement
An official of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce said
Liberalization of trade in goods and market access for services
Have reached the highest level of China’s free trade agreement
The most notable aspects of the China-Cambodia Free Trade Agreement
Because it has broken a series of records and set multiple "firsts"
This is the first free trade agreement signed between China and the least developed countries
This is the first free trade agreement signed by China since the outbreak
This is the free trade agreement with the most open market so far
This is the first free trade agreement to establish a separate chapter for cooperation under the "Belt and Road Initiative"

Cambodia is one of the countries friendly to China in the world
Cooperation with China has become closer and closer in recent years
Seeing such an "iron" relationship between China and Cambodia has made Cambodian domestic opposition forces that are supported by international anti-China forces very dissatisfied
Propagating that Cambodia has abandoned China to get close US, trying to discredit the exchanges between China and Cambodian
So as to achieve the purpose of containing China
On October 13, the Prime Minister of Cambodia stated
Except for China, no country will provide such a great help to Cambodia

Cambodia is a member of ASEAN
Provided a lot of help to China within the ASEAN framework
For example, some time ago, Vietnam, Philippine and even Singapore were within the ASEAN framework.
Proposed a lot of anti-China bills, especially regarding the South China Sea
In the end, they were rejected by Cambodia.
Although Cambodia is a small poor country
But the relationship between China and Cambodia is equal, mutual assistance and friendly

On this basis, China and Cambodia signed a free trade agreement
Is to make such a declaration
Even if the Chinese economy will go to the lowest internal cycle in the future
As long as Cambodia is willing to follow the path of common prosperity with China
China can guarantee Cambodia
This has a demonstration effect in ASEAN, somewhat similar to North Korea
Before that, we just focused on two countries, one is North Korea and the other is Cambodia.
We said that China might help Cambodia like this
But for other countries, even Pakistan, we have never said that

At the beginning of February this year
The worst moment of the domestic epidemic
Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen said that he would visit China, and he was visiting Wuhan
At that time, Wuhan had just closed down
The Chinese government arranged for him to go to Beijing for the safety of the epidemic
For this friendship, of course we in China must remember that the grace of dripping water must be repaid.
Therefore, China is willing to provide Cambodia with the greatest help at this level
And Cambodia also got a feeling from China's help to him
That is: besides China, which country is willing to help us

Help for Cambodia
One is that we have this wish, and the other is that China has this ability
It’s not good if you only have a wish without ability
So there is a free trade agreement signed between China and Cambodia
For Cambodia, with this free trade agreement
The export of his agricultural products to China is basically zero cost
China will certainly gradually increase its various investments
And Cambodia will also become a benchmark for China's One Belt One Road
In addition; this free trade agreement
It means that the minimum cycle in China has not yet officially started
There are already two carriages, one is North Korea; the other is Cambodia

Except for Cambodia
China and Laos, which is also a member of ASEAN, are also accelerating the development of relations
The China-Laos Railway is the hub of the Trans-Asian Railway's Indo-China Peninsula artery. There are 75 tunnels
The last key control project-Xiangnen No. 3 Tunnel has been successfully completed recently
And it's all done with China's capital, technology, and talents
This railway has been leading to Malaysia and even Singapore
While fighting the United States, China is actually pushing the Belt and Road Initiative
Because Cambodia and Laos are within the scope of China’s military capabilities
Some projects China dare to implement

It’s because the relationship between Cambodia and China is developing very well
So the West must spare no effort to destroy
It is not surprising that there will be some news that is not good for China in Cambodia in the future.
After all, the West also has its own influence there
But in general there will not be much change
This is what Chairman Mao Zedong said
Enemies make trouble and fail! Make trouble again, fail again, until they perish
No matter how he makes trouble, the result is there
The Cambodian Prime Minister said that besides China, which country is willing to help us this conclusion
Will be verified by many countries

The words of the Prime Minister of Cambodia
First, it reflects the trust in China
Second, it reflects the affirmation of China's capabilities
Only trust without ability is not enough
Just like the COVID-19 epidemic that has swept the world, only China has the ability to overcome it

Competence for China
Of course, Japan and South Korea are in sight
But the United States (Western) has too many shackles on them
Plus their own thoughts
It will inevitably cause their words and deeds to be different from Cambodia
As long as they can recognize it, what’s more, they have not completely fallen into the water
After the future economic downturn
They will have a deeper understanding of this
In the future, it is very likely to send out emotions like Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen.

October 12
The founder of the world's largest hedge fund-Bridgewater Joint Fund
Raymond Dalio at the Milken Institute Global Conference
In a conversation with "New York Times" columnist Thomas Friedman said
In terms of various developments, time is on the side of China, not on the side of the United States

Raymond Dalio analyzes from all levels
The conclusion that time is on the side of China is consistent with us
In a sense, China's strength has surpassed the United States and the West
He knows the market, he can see the truth
As the two anchor points of the United States in the Western Pacific, Japan and South Korea can certainly see clearly.
China has completely controlled the epidemic and the economy has recovered rapidly
The shock to Korea and Japan is obvious
Before, South Korea relied on the United States
Beheading operations on North Korea at every turn
But South Korea don't mention it now
This is the meaning of the rebalancing of conventional power on the Korean Peninsula, and the situation is stronger than that of people.

The evening of October 11th and 12th
CCTV's "Topics in Focus" column continued to report, revealing the details of the Taiwan espionage case
Evening of October 13
"Topics in Focus" once again carried out a special report "The Conspiracy in "Academic" Exchange"
Two cases of Taiwanese espionage hidden in "academic exchanges" were disclosed

Continuous reports cracked espionage cases
Is to tell the kind Chinese people
All kinds of foundations wear masks
Their common purpose is to subvert our country
Deprive us of the right to develop and not let us live a good life
In a sense, the Taiwan espionage case will also involve Hong Kong
China has started the process of solving Hong Kong’s problem
Liberation of Taiwan is the last donkey in the process of squeezing the pustule of Hong Kong

U.S. retreats on TSMC
Attempting to break the situation in South Asia by adjusting the rhythm of internal and external issues
However, China is also aiming the backstop plan to adjust the rhythm on multiple lines
Use the Chinese rhythm to interfere with the American (Western) rhythm
When China’s rhythm points to the bottom line step by step
Will make the other party frightened

Although we are looking at the bottom to adjust the rhythm
But we don’t want to use the backstop plan now
The reason why we are preparing for the plan
It is because the United States is adjusting its rhythm around the two processes of external and internal
Various preparations are being made around China, so China must prepare for the worst
The rhythm of China cannot be disrupted by the United States
But the rhythm of the United States is always severely impacted by China
Under such circumstances, how many meanings does the United States find rhythm?

From the perspective of China
The only result of the American (Western) struggling is to tear up the calendar with China
Even if the United States (the West) finally forced Russia to express its position in South Asia, it broke the situation
Looking back, the West Pacific Security Framework may have become history
China is making various preparations at this time, including military exercises
Especially showing the combat mode of drones and artificial intelligence
Is to tell them in a way that impacts their psychology
Efforts around China are essentially futile
Just as the founder of the American Bridgewater Fund used facts to convince himself and his colleagues to understand:
Time is indeed in China

 

Statement: If there is any discrepancy in the specific content, first take the "Dongfang Time Global Current Affairs Interpretation · Current Affairs Festival Brief Edition" as the benchmark; secondly, use the " Dongfang Time Universal Current Affairs Interpretation · Current Affairs Random Talk" as a reference.

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