Dongfang Time Cloud Review【No. 20201015-180】
On October 9, the director of the US National Counterintelligence and Security Center stated that Russia, China, and Iran seemed to be preventing the United States from obtaining the COVID-19 vaccine. This absurd logic showed from another angle that the United States is accustomed to making out of nothing about vaccine. Inside, outside, all.
Trump once claimed that the United States is expected to obtain the COVID-19 vaccine in November or even October, but now the United States accuses China, Russia, and Iran of obstructing the United States’ access to vaccines. One cannot help but wonder whether the United States (the West) has actually developed a vaccine. According to the situation of the British vaccine accidents and suspension of trials, the answer is self-evident. The real situation of western vaccine development may only be described in the words "very bad".
Behind the US accusations of China, Russia, and Iran, it means that the COVID-19 vaccine that the US wants to obtain has nothing to do with the United States (the West), but only related to “non-Western countries”. The only country in the world that has the real ability to develop vaccines and mass-produce them and provide services to the outside world is China. The only country is China, and none of others. Although Russia's biochemical technology is also top-notch, its production capacity is questionable.
In addition, the domestic epidemic in Russia is serious, and Russia cannot give priority to providing effective vaccines abroad. Obviously, it is unrealistic for the West to place the expectation of obtaining vaccines on Russia. The last possibility is to obtain vaccines from China.
After the National Day long holiday in China, a large number of people traveled (more than 600 million person-times), confirming to the world that China has completely controlled the epidemic. Although the possibility of sporadic epidemics cannot be ruled out, it is a normal phenomenon and does not affect the overall situation. Coupled with China's leading vaccine development and large-scale production capacity, China certainly has the ability to provide vaccine products to the world. This is also the most appropriate time for China to announce its participation in the global vaccine program.
China is very good at seizing similar opportunities for publicity. On the one hand, it is the National Day large-scale person movement and economic recovery, and on the other hand, it takes the opportunity to publicize that China will provide vaccine products and services to the world. The timing is very good.
It is not difficult to see that the United States has attacked China, Russia and Iran on the surface to prevent him from obtaining vaccines, but in fact it has targeted China. Because neither Iran nor Russia has the ability to provide vaccines to the world, and the Russian epidemic has rebounded violently, people have to be suspicious in this situation. If the Russian vaccine is effective, why has the Russian epidemic not been controlled?
According to the report of the Russian COVID-19 Epidemic Prevention and Control Headquarters on October 9, there were 12,126 new confirmed COVID-19 cases in Russia in the past day and night, exceeding the previous record. In addition, the Minister of Health of Kazakhstan recently stated that since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pneumonia in mid-March, more than 12,000 medical workers in the country have been infected with the COVID-19 pneumonia.
We have noticed that the unexplained pneumonia in Kazakhstan not long ago has not seen any follow-up reports, and the Kazakhstan medical staff has infected more than 10,000 people, the number of which is very large. Kazakhstan is close to China and has good bilateral relations. China's successful experience in fighting the epidemic lies there. Why is the epidemic in Kazakhstan so severe? Why can't we copy China's homework well, nor can we use Chinese traditional medicine on a large scale? What happened to the unexplained pneumonia that appeared in Kazakhstan some time ago?
The Kazakh government separates statistics on COVID-19 pneumonia and unexplained pneumonia, indicating that the two viruses are clearly distinguished. The unexplained pneumonia outbreak has lasted so long, why is there no follow-up report? Not only did China and Russia have no relevant reports, the WHO did not follow up, and Kazakhstan himself did not follow.
The COVID-19 epidemic broke out in Xinjiang not long ago, and Xinjiang is not far from Kazakhstan. The COVID-19 epidemic in Xinjiang is most likely to be mixed with the unexplained pneumonia. Even so, China does not have any statement. All doubts are easily reminiscent of a guess, Kazakhstan unexplained pneumonia may be a new virus, and this new virus appeared in Kazakhstan. In addition to the U.S. Army’s Biochemical Research Institute there, another reason is that Kazakhstan is adjacent to China and Russia, and it is very convenient to import the epidemic situation to Russia and China Geographically.
Chinese officials have confirmed that a certain vaccine in China can cover the virus mutation, which means that no matter whether there are cases of unexplained pneumonia in Xinjiang, it is not a problem for China. If viewed from this angle, Kazakhstan's epidemic cannot be controlled, are there other reasons besides the above objective reasons? For example, can the development process of the Kazakhstan virus vaccine be started normally?
In the end, it is not a problem for China to obtain information about the virus in Kazakhstan, but the "legitimacy and rationality" may be problematic, which may explain why there is no relevant follow-up news in China. Therefore, we have reason to doubt that there may have some forces to prevent the revealing of the truth of unexplained pneumonia in Kazakhstan at different levels.
But if so, why does Russia have no opinion on this? According to Dongfang Time, the outbreak of unexplained pneumonia in Kazakhstan is very violent, or in terms of geography or time, China's Xinjiang and Hong Kong may have been affected. The occurrence of unidentified virus in Kazakhstan is similar to that of COVID-29 Virus in US Army Institute of Infectious Diseases. Therefore, at the current stage, China can only click to the end without in-depth disclosure.
If this is the case, it means that the emergence of this virus is a biochemical attack, and the direction of the attack is undoubtedly China and Russia, which are very close to Kazakhstan. Even so, with China's technical and economic strength and organizational capabilities in fighting the COVID-19 epidemic, China will not be a problem to control the attacks of the unexplained virus in Kazakhstan. The situation in Russia is clearly not optimistic.
As the previous Dongfang Time has repeatedly warned, if an unexplained virus is mixed with the COVID-19 virus, and the vaccine claimed by Russia is only effective against the COVID-19 virus and ineffective against this unknown virus, the Russian epidemic has now rebounded violently. There is no doubt that Russia has suffered an equivalent biochemical attack.
Under this circumstance, Russia’s final choice may eventually be biased towards the West. On the one hand, the Belarusian issue, the Ukrainian issue, and the Naka issue are under great pressure from the West; on the other hand, if the epidemic problem cannot be resolved, Russia must find a way out, and if the epidemic is a true equivalent biochemical attack with the cooperation of the fifth column and the problems of the people around Putin, the so-called "exodus" appeared. So, Putin's regime is naturally hard to escape. To get rid of the blame, it is undoubtedly the easiest way to shift the blame to China. Therefore, although these speculations have not been verified by facts, we must be highly alert to the possibility of their occurrence.
Once again, we must pay close attention to follow-up reports of unexplained pneumonia in Kazakhstan. With the full rebound of the COVID-19 epidemic in countries other than China, there is also real pressure on China. A large number of people traveled during the National Day long holiday to stimulate economic recovery. Other countries only have envy and hatred. When the epidemic is not under control, it is easy for them to reach a consensus on the issue of shifting the blame to China. Such pressure is objective to China and China needs to be prepared to respond, but this situation is essentially a breakthrough in South Asia at the level of the COVID-19 epidemic.
In addition, it should be pointed out that if the United States accuses China, Russia, and Iran of obstructing the United States’ access to the COVID-19 vaccine, if Russia only clarifies and denies the United States’ claims, then it will not be considered a break in South Asia at the level of the COVID-19 epidemic. However, if Russia’s clarification is based on a “collective shifting blame to China”, it will undoubtedly mean that South Asia has broken the situation at the level of the COVID-19 epidemic.
On October 9, the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to a reporter's question on China's participation in the "COVID-19 Vaccine Implementation Plan" and stated that China has signed an agreement with the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization to formally join the "COVID-19 Vaccine Implementation Plan." This is an important measure for China to uphold the concept of a community of human health and fulfill its commitment to promote vaccines as a global public product.
On September 5, 2020, the COVID-19 vaccine developed by China National Pharmaceutical Group China Biotechnology Co., Ltd. was announced. The vaccine has now entered the third phase of human testing, but it is not in the COVAX plan.
China's participation in the "COVID-19 Pneumonia Vaccine Implementation Plan" means that all mankind (including the American people) is very close to getting the vaccine. This is pressure on the West and Russia, and it is fundamentally different from the previous Russia's promise to provide the world with a vaccine.
Brazil, the United Arab Emirates and the World Health Organization have all publicly acknowledged that China’s vaccines are safe and effective, but Russia’s vaccines have not yet received such evaluations. China’s participation in the program will undoubtedly become the protagonist of vaccine provision, including the last vaccines obtained by the West may be Chinese. If the West wants to use it, it needs to apply first, and China promises to give priority to Asian, African and Latin American countries. This way, the priority of the West will be lower, which will undoubtedly be pressure on the West.
On the other hand, China has not joined the plan before, which is to some extent creating space for Russia to play the vaccine card, but Russia has now shown signs of high alertness, and Russia’s vaccines cannot even solve the domestic epidemic. Not to mention serving all mankind.
It is natural for China to join the vaccine program at this time, so that the importance of the Russian vaccine brand will gradually fade, and it will also be a counter-pressure to Russia. This is exactly the two main intentions of China to join the "COVID-19 Pneumonia Vaccine Implementation Plan" at this time, combined with the "Opinions on Further Improving the Quality of Listed Companies" issued by the State Council recently, to comprehensively promote the implementation of the registration system, all of which indicate that the situation is very serious.
Winter is approaching, and the epidemic in Europe and the United States is violently breaking out again. The West is basically in the quagmire of the epidemic. The number of new cases in a single day in the United Kingdom, France and other countries hit a new high, so that they have to consider restarting the containment measures. If they continue to provoke China, it can be said that they " Do not do not die."
In the future, will they use or not use Chinese vaccines? If the West tightens the blockade again, it will undoubtedly worsen the economy. If the blockade is not strict and will not be effective, the West will definitely anticipate this difficult situation. Therefore, the possibility that they will still collectively shift blame to China is greatly increasing.
Therefore, the breakthrough in South Asia at the level of the COVID-19 epidemic is getting closer and closer to us. The final key lies in the attitude of Russia. Japan, South Korea, and India will inevitably join the camp of shifting blame to China. Although Brazil wants to use Chinese vaccines, it may be hard to maintain internal consistency under the pressure of the West at the most critical moment. Therefore, China's participation in the global vaccine plan at this time can also delay the speed of countries like Brazil shifting blame to China as far as possible before the critical moment arrives.
From the perspective of Dongfang Time, South Asia may break the situation or switch from the COVID-19 epidemic level to the traditional level. Although the situation is extremely severe, the situation is much better than 2014. The time that China has strived for in the past few years is very important, and China has successfully avoided it. The most critical situation is that the military reform has been basically completed. The military reform is highly compatible with the mass line. It is a very important part of the mass line. In fact, the core of the mass line in our observation and evaluation is the military reform. What is left is to extend to the financial and cultural anti-corruption substantive breakthroughs. Although these two steps have not been completed yet, under the premise that the military reform is basically completed, and these unfinished two steps will cause some problems or even big problems, overall there is no need to worry too much.
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