东方时事 | 贯日翻译 | 郑叔翻译 | Certificate Translation |

第1226期

原文出处: 衍射 2025年4月15日

https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/R2sZufFqvPEOeYZI-z0QfQ

Issue 1226

Original: Diffraction Apr.15,2025

 

2025年4月15日,星期二,第1226期

东方点评,中央港澳办主任: 让美国那些‘乡巴佬们’在中华民族五千年文明面前去哀鸣吧

【媒体报道】

4月15日,据中共中央港澳工作办公室、国务院港澳事务办公室官网消息,香港特区政府今天上午举办第10个全民国家安全教育日开幕典礼,中央港澳工作办公室主任、国务院港澳事务办公室主任夏宝龙当天发表视频讲话。

【讨论纪要】

●正因为中国化身这道美国世界霸权,尤其是金融霸权越也越不过,绕又绕不开的“南墙”,他们才敢于躲在后面对美帝“扔石头”

4月14日,有英国智库查塔姆研究所下属亚太项目高级研究员投书媒体,呼吁英国、欧盟、日本等在金融系统、人工智能(AI)等关键科技领域尽快对美“去风险”。尽管文章仍将对华依赖刻画为所谓“威胁”,但认为美国的不确定性带来的风险远要更大。文章呼吁美国盟友不要一味追随美国“抗中”,而要联合打造自己的“战略不可替代性”地位。

在我们看来,英国智库查塔姆研究所下属亚太项目高级研究员所投文章阐述的道理至允至当,但问题是,为什么不早说出来呢?恐怕原因就在于,本次特朗普政府对世界,尤其对发动“关税战”本质上已彻底失败之前,包括美国的众多传统盟友在内的方方面面,从未如此真切地感受到天上出了“第二个太阳”。正因为中国化身这道美国世界霸权,尤其是金融霸权越也越不过,绕又绕不开的“南墙”,他们才敢于躲在后面对美帝“扔石头”。这是中国本次应对美国“关税战”必须第一时间,第一个站出来,对其全面且犀利反击的重要意义之一。正如美国前国务卿基辛格所言,做美国的敌人很危险,做美国的盟友更危险。现在,终于有人敢于大胆地将其讲出来了。

●最让特朗普感到痛苦的是……

可以说,这次“眨眼睛”对美国世界霸权,尤其是金融霸权,乃至特朗普政权本身的打击都是致命的。最让特朗普感到痛苦的是:

其一,中国这堵“南墙”,就如同《三国演义》的一幕:如果马谡严格按照诸葛亮的嘱咐,在街亭“当道扎寨”,恐怕司马懿纵有千条妙计也无法逾越分毫;

其二,在“其一”的基础上,时间就这样滴滴答答的一去不回,而与其形成某种类似函数关系的效应就是,美国内部恶斗的日甚一日开始向美国金融维稳方面不断外溢;

其三,在“其二”的基础上,美国国债收益率飙升和缺口越来越大、要求越来越急的史无前例的大规模开启印钞机之间形成恶性循环,且开始以某种脱离美国金融当局掌控的方式引导市场预期。特朗普深知,这样的美国金融市场随时可能发生系统性金融危机。

●对于这样一个身陷“N战并1战”的特朗普政府,谁会让步?

近日,我们注意到国内某权威媒体对特朗普政府“关税战”发表的一篇犀利文章,文章标题是:大张旗鼓加税,偷偷摸摸豁免——起底美国政府的“神操作”。

所谓“偷偷摸摸豁免”说的就是上一期回顾中我们提到的那份深夜发出,没有链接,记者提问不应,且内容极其拗口的赦免文件。偷偷摸摸搞豁免也就罢了,特朗普政府还对此百般辩解——4月13日,美国总统特朗普在社交媒体上发文称,美政府并未宣布任何关税“豁免”,而是将其移到其他“关税篮子”。同一天,美国商务部长卢特尼克在接受美媒体采访时表示,特朗普政府针对手机、电脑、内存芯片等电子产品的关税豁免只是“暂时性的”。卢特尼克称,这些产品很快将被纳入所谓的“半导体类别”中,被征收一种特殊的重点关税。

我们想要再次强调的是,特朗普政府眼下最应该做的只有一件事,那就是如中国商务部在“回复”中敦促的那样,在改正“关税战”错误问题上迈出一大步,本质上没有其他选择。否则,即便是西太问题中国也没兴趣和美国谈,何况其他?话说回来,即便特朗普政府能够在改正“关税战”错误问题上迈出这一大步,也仅仅是关税问题:其一,“左手制造问题,右手解决问题”,中国不接受;其二,即便是西太问题,恐怕要从“太平洋足够大,容得下中美两国”向切实落地执行的方向调整为“太平洋足够大,容得下中美两军”。

只要特朗普政府在“关税战”问题上继续耍花招,国际社会就有必要向方方面面不断揭露“美帝‘眨眼’了,美帝不行了,美帝在战略定力上松动了,中国已经开始掌握规则的制定权”之事实。

在我们看来,中国商务部的回复,不仅是对特朗普政府烂施“关税大棒”的后续反击,更是当着方方面面,通过教育特朗普政府,进而对美国世界霸权,尤其是金融霸权“诛心”。

而在各方看来,还在继续的俄乌战争,陷入困局的中东政策,不断恶化的中美关系,惨败的“关税战”,日甚一日的美国内部恶斗,尤其是“特朗普阵营”内部矛盾的公开化、扩大化,对于这样一个身陷“N战并1战”的特朗普政府,又有谁会让步?这恐怕是欧盟、俄罗斯、日本等纷纷站出对美示强的主要原因。

●特朗普政府的“无能狂怒”完全符合毛泽东主席对帝国主义反动派思维逻辑的精准画像:捣乱,失败;再捣乱,再失败,直至灭亡

在继续展开讨论前,我们再来看一则新闻报道。

4月15日,美国财政部长贝森特称,美国政府不认为北京和华盛顿间的贸易关系破裂是不可避免的,但不排除事态有可能这样发展。

在看到己方极尽屈辱的发出认怂信号后,中方仍不予理睬,并当着全世界的面揭批特朗普政府的丑陋言行,于是,特朗普政府恼羞成怒,开始反攻倒算,并威胁中国要“经济断交”。

在我们看来,特朗普政府的反复并不令人感到意外。在其“关税战”本质上已经失败的情况下,特朗普政府的“无能狂怒”完全符合毛泽东主席对帝国主义反动派思维逻辑的精准画像:捣乱,失败;再捣乱,再失败,直至灭亡。

不过,话说回来,尽管我们在战略上藐视敌人,但战术上仍要重视敌人,在敌人捣乱,失败;再捣乱,再失败,直至灭亡的过程中做最坏的打算,争取最好的结果。为了更好展开下面的讨论,我们再来看一则新闻报道。

●在美财长贝森特狂妄叫嚣中美“经济断交”的背景下,国际社会应高度警惕西方邪恶势力发动“网络战”

4月15日,据中共中央港澳工作办公室、国务院港澳事务办公室官网消息,香港特区政府今天上午举办第10个全民国家安全教育日开幕典礼,中央港澳工作办公室主任、国务院港澳事务办公室主任夏宝龙当天发表视频讲话。

对于中央港澳工作办公室主任、国务院港澳事务办公室主任夏宝龙的视频讲话,我们想要着重强调的是:

第一,该讲话内容非常丰富,建议大家阅读全文。其中阐述了许多我们此前曾讨论过,强调过多次的重要观点,比如,富而不安、富而不强、富而不长的例子比比皆是。强调的是经济与军事之间的关系。在上一次回顾中恰好我们也再次提及了这一重要问题。东方时事解读认为,阻止西方取得在AI技术方面的领先地位,首先在于军事意义。类似中国古代中原王朝面对游牧民族的入侵,尽管其经济文化落后,但只要军事力量足够强大,一样可碾压中原王朝。所以,经济实力虽然是保障军事实力的前提,但经济强盛不等于军事一定强盛。类似现象,在中国历史上多次出现过,在夏宝龙主任的讲话中再次强调过,显然有其必然性;

第二,显然,这一讲话是对香港社会进行全面动员。其背景是上一小节中提到的美财长贝森特威胁中美“经济断交”。体现的是,在美方再次耍花招“变脸”后,中美双方再次基于“摊牌”层面产生的激烈对撞;

第一,结合夏宝龙主任讲话中提到的香港由乱到治之整个过程以及香港现状。我们认为,西方邪恶势力发动网络战,有可能导致香港再出乱子(特朗普政府威胁要将在美上市的中国公司下架摘牌,而香港是一个很可能的接收地,所以,对方发动网络战瞄着的目标这是其中之一)。所谓“香港现状”,夏宝龙主任在讲话中已经描述得非常清楚:香港社会面看似平静,实则暗流涌动,安全形势仍然十分严峻复杂。反中乱港分子并没有被消灭,有些逃到国外兴风作浪,有些撕下额头上的标签,伪装成普通市民,隐匿在社会人群中伺机祸乱香港;

第二,结合夏宝龙主任讲话中提到的香港由乱到治之整个过程以及香港现状。我们认为,西方邪恶势力发动网络战,有可能导致香港再出乱子(特朗普政府威胁要将在美上市的中国公司下架摘牌,而香港是一个很可能的接收地,所以,对方发动网络战瞄着的目标这是其中之一)。所谓“香港现状”,夏宝龙主任在讲话中已经描述得非常清楚:香港社会面看似平静,实则暗流涌动,安全形势仍然十分严峻复杂。反中乱港分子并没有被消灭,有些逃到国外兴风作浪,有些撕下额头上的标签,伪装成普通市民,隐匿在社会人群中伺机祸乱香港;

第三,如同“生化战”一样,东方时事解读始终认为,“网络战”,既然西方邪恶势力投入大量人力、物力、财力进行研究,绝不是什么摆设,而是为了有朝一日去用的。所以,在美财长贝森特狂妄叫嚣中美“经济断交”的背景下,不排除其对中国发动“网络战”的可能性。某种意义上说,由于历史原因,香港是我国在国家安全层面最为薄弱的地方(比如,在香港的金融系统中,很多并没有使用国产的操作系统);

第五,夏宝龙主任的讲话,也是国际社会对西方邪恶势力发出的严正警告,即便在香港问题上,我们与西方邪恶力量做坚决斗争的决心毫不动摇。且我们相信,以《中华人民共和国国家安全法》为基础,加之经过乱港暴乱事件洗礼的港府,驻港部队和作为强大后盾的全国人民的鼎力支持,我们有信心取得最后的胜利!

需要补充的是,我们对于西方邪恶势力可能发动“网络战”的评估并非空穴来风。

近日,哈尔滨市公安局宣布,公开通缉3名美国国家安全局(NSA)特工。值得注意的是,在相关新闻报道中,详细列举了对方采取的网络攻击手段,比如:亚冬会期间美国国家安全局(NSA)向黑龙江省内多个基于微软Windows操作系统的特定设备发送未知加密字节,疑为唤醒、激活微软Windows操作系统提前预留的特定后门等。

●经此一役,在很多国家的眼中,中国已经成为事实上有实力抗衡美国世界霸权,尤其是金融霸权的超级大国

最后需要补充的是,最终迫使特朗普政府“关税战”脱稿运行的主要原因之一就是美国内部恶斗不断。经此一役,在很多国家的眼中,中国已经成为事实上有实力抗衡美国世界霸权,尤其是金融霸权的超级大国。即便一些国家对中国心存猜忌,心存畏惧,甚至仍将中国视为最大潜在敌人,但出于反抗美帝暴行、确保自身核心利益不受损害,也纷纷向中国靠拢。这一趋势恰恰反应在美前国务卿布林肯此前的讲话中——4月9日,美国前国务卿布林肯在受访时表示,关税战向世界传递的信息是,不能指望美国、不能相信美国。最终结果是其他国家会想办法绕过我们、远离我们,这对我们不好。

阿根廷是一个典型的国家。

有趣的是,此前,有“阿根廷特朗普”之称的阿根廷总统米莱,在“不当家不知柴米贵”的处境下,透过中美“关税战”的过程及结果重新认识了中阿关系和阿美关系。讽刺的是,恰恰在这位如今俨然变为“阿根廷反特朗普第一人”治下的阿根廷中央银行,在当地时间4月10日,抢在美财长贝森特访阿之前发布公告,称已与中国人民银行达成续签货币互换协议。

除了阿根廷外,还有一个国家透过中美“关税战”更是赚得盆满钵满,那就是巴西。

4月10日,巴西矿产和能源部长西尔韦拉表示,特朗普挑起的贸易战对巴西是一个“机遇”,即将率团访问中国的他正积极寻求与华为、比亚迪等企业在能源储存领域合作。同样讽刺的是,为了能够让自己的大豆绕过特朗普的关税政策继续出口中国,很多美国产的大豆不得不接受“中间商赚差价”、贴上“巴西大豆原产”的标签转口中国。

对于美国农产品通过其他国家,比如,巴西,转口中国的事情,恐怕中国早就知道。虽然口子暂时不堵死,但文章要去做,比如,透过巴西“中间商”对美国豆农压低价格对特朗普政府反向施压。如果特朗普政府继续一意孤行,不排除有朝一日,连这道口子也彻底封死的可能性!

摆在特朗普政府面前的实际上只有两条路:第一条路,如果特朗普政府自觉还有能力,仍试图从实力的角度出发和中国讲话,那就放马过来!还是那句话:美国敢死,中国就敢埋;第二条路,缴械投降,不要做没有意义的挣扎。毕竟,好死不如赖活着。而这与特朗普及“特朗普们”心心念念的“发财梦”并不冲突。

<

声明:具体内容如有出入,请以“东方时事解读”音频为准。

 

Tuesday, April 15, 2025, Issue No. 1226

**Oriental Commentary by Xia Baolong, Director of the Hong Kong and Macao Affairs Office of the Central Committee and Director of the Hong Kong and Macao Affairs Office of the State Council**: Let those "bumpkins" in the United States wail in the face of the 5,000-year-old Chinese civilization.

[Media Coverage]

On April 15, according to the official websites of the Central Office for Hong Kong and Macao Affairs and the Hong Kong and Macao Affairs Office of the State Council, the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government held the opening ceremony of the 10th National Security Education Day for All today. Xia Baolong, Director of the Central Office for Hong Kong and Macao Affairs and Director of the Hong Kong and Macao Affairs Office of the State Council, delivered a video speech on the same day.

【Discussion Summary】

● Precisely because China has become an insurmountable and unavoidable "wall" that blocks US world hegemony, especially its financial hegemony, they dare to hide behind and "throw stones" at the US empire.

On April 14, a senior researcher in the Asia-Pacific program of the Chatham House, a UK think tank, wrote an article for the media, calling on the UK, the EU, Japan, etc. to "de-risk" from the United States as soon as possible in key areas such as the financial system and artificial intelligence (AI). Although the article still portrays dependence on China as a so-called "threat", it believes that the risks brought by US uncertainty are far greater. The article calls on US allies not to blindly follow the United States in "opposing China", but to jointly build their own "strategically irreplaceable" position.

In our view, the reasoning expounded in the article written by the senior researcher in the Asia-Pacific program of the Chatham House is entirely reasonable. But the question is, why didn't they say it earlier? The reason may be that before the Trump administration's essentially complete failure in launching the "tariff war" against the world, including many of the United States' traditional allies, all parties had never so clearly felt that there was a "second sun" in the sky. Precisely because China has become an insurmountable and unavoidable "wall" that blocks US world hegemony, especially its financial hegemony, they dare to hide behind and "throw stones" at the US empire. This is one of the important meanings of China's immediate and first response, launching a comprehensive and sharp counterattack against the US "tariff war". As former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger said, it is dangerous to be an enemy of the United States, and even more dangerous to be an ally. Now, finally, someone has dared to say it boldly.

<

● What hurts Trump the most is...

It can be said that this "blinking" has been fatal to US world hegemony, especially its financial hegemony, and even to the Trump administration itself. What hurts Trump the most is:

First, China's "wall" is like a scene in "Romance of the Three Kingdoms": If Ma Su had strictly followed Zhuge Liang's instructions and set up camp "right on the road" at Jieting, perhaps even with all his wiles, Sima Yi would not have been able to cross it by so much as an inch..

Second, on the basis of "first", time just ticks away inexorably, and the effect similar to a functional relationship is that the increasingly fierce internal strife in the United States has begun to spill over continuously into the stability of the US financial system.

Third, on the basis of "second", a vicious cycle has formed between the soaring and ever-widening yield of US Treasury bonds, the increasingly urgent demand, and the unprecedented large-scale printing of money. And it has begun to guide market expectations in a way that is somewhat out of the control of US financial authorities. Trump knows well that such a US financial market may experience a systemic financial crisis at any time.

● Who will give in when faced with a Trump administration mired in "multiple battles and one critical battle"?

Recently, we noticed a sharp article in a domestic authoritative media about the Trump administration's "tariff war". The title of the article is: "Making a Fuss about Tariff Hikes and Secretly Granting Exemptions - Uncovering the 'Divine Moves' of the US Government".

The so-called "secretly granting exemptions" refers to the amnesty document mentioned in our previous review, which was issued late at night, without a link, unanswered to journalists' questions, and extremely convoluted in content. Not only did they secretly grant exemptions, but the Trump administration also made all kinds of excuses for it. On April 13, US President Trump posted on social media that the US government had not announced any tariff "exemptions", but had instead moved them to other "tariff baskets". On the same day, US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said in an interview with US media that the Trump administration's tariff exemptions for electronic products such as mobile phones, computers, and memory chips were only "temporary". Lutnick said that these products would soon be included in the so-called "semiconductor category" and subject to a special key tariff.

We would like to emphasize again that the only thing the Trump administration should do at present is to take a big step in correcting the mistakes of the "tariff war", as urged by the Ministry of Commerce of China in its "reply". There is essentially no other choice. Otherwise, even on the issue of the Western Pacific, China has no interest in talking to the United States, let alone other issues. Having said that, even if the Trump administration could take this big step in correcting the mistakes of the "tariff war", it would still only be about the tariff issue: First, China does not accept the practice of "creating problems with one hand and solving them with the other"; Second, even on the issue of the Western Pacific, it may be necessary to adjust from "The Pacific is big enough to accommodate both China and the United States" to the actual implementation of "The Pacific is big enough to accommodate both the Chinese and US militaries".

As long as the Trump administration continues to play tricks on the "tariff war" issue, the international community has the necessity to continuously expose the facts that "the US empire is 'blinking', the US empire is not capable, the strategic determination of the US empire has loosened, and China has begun to take the initiative in formulating rules" to all parties./p>

In our view, the reply of the Ministry of Commerce of China is not only a follow-up counterattack against the Trump administration's wanton use of the "tariff stick", but also a direct admonition to the Trump administration in front of all parties, thereby striking at the heart of the US world hegemony, especially its financial hegemony.

In the eyes of all parties, with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, the US's Middle East policy mired in a quagmire, the continuously deteriorating Sino-US relations, the disastrous "tariff war", the increasingly fierce internal strife in the United States, especially the publicization and expansion of contradictions within the "Trump camp", for such a Trump administration trapped in "multiple battles and one critical battle", who will give in? This is probably the main reason why the EU, Russia, Japan and others have stepped forward to show strength against the United States.

● The "helpless rage" of the Trump administration fully conforms to Chairman Mao Zedong's accurate portrayal of the thinking logic of imperialist reactionaries: creating trouble, failing; creating trouble again, failing again, until destruction

Before continuing the discussion, let's take a look at another news report.

On April 15, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that the US government does not believe that a breakdown in trade relations between Beijing and Washington is inevitable, but does not rule out the possibility of such a development.

After seeing its own extremely humiliating signal of submission, China still ignored it and publicly condemned the ugly words and deeds of the Trump administration in front of the whole world. As a result, the Trump administration became enraged, launched a counterattack, and threatened to "economically decouple" from China.

In our view, the repeated actions of the Trump administration are not surprising. Given the essential failure of its "tariff war", the "helpless rage" of the Trump administration fully conforms to Chairman Mao Zedong's accurate portrayal of the thinking logic of imperialist reactionaries: creating trouble, failing; creating trouble again, failing again, until destruction.

However, having said that, although we despise the enemy strategically, we must still take the enemy seriously tactically. We should make the worst-case scenario preparations and strive for the best outcome during the process of the enemy creating trouble, failing; creating trouble again, failing again, until destruction. To better conduct the following discussion, let's take a look at another news report.

<

● Against the backdrop of US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's arrogant threats of "economic decoupling" between China and the United States, the international community should be highly vigilant against the Western evil forces' launching of "cyber warfare".

On April 15, according to the official websites of the Central Office for Hong Kong and Macao Affairs and the Hong Kong and Macao Affairs Office of the State Council, the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government held the opening ceremony of the 10th National Security Education Day for All this morning. Xia Baolong, Director of the Central Office for Hong Kong and Macao Affairs and Director of the Hong Kong and Macao Affairs Office of the State Council, delivered a video speech on the same day.

Regarding Xia Baolong's video speech as the Director of the Central Office for Hong Kong and Macao Affairs and the Hong Kong and Macao Affairs Office of the State Council, we would like to emphasize the following points:

First, the content of the speech is very rich. It is recommended that everyone read the full text. It expounds many important viewpoints that we have discussed and emphasized many times before. For example, there are numerous examples of being rich but not secure, not strong, and not sustainable. It emphasizes the relationship between the economy and the military. We also mentioned this important issue again in the previous review. Oriental Current Affairs Analysis believes that preventing the West from achieving a leading position in AI technology is primarily of military significance. Similar to ancient Chinese dynasties facing invasions by nomadic tribes, although their economies and cultures were backward, as long as their military power was strong enough, they could still crush the Central Plains dynasties. Therefore, economic strength is the prerequisite for ensuring military strength, but economic prosperity does not necessarily mean military strength. Similar phenomena have occurred many times in Chinese history and are once again emphasized in Director Xia Baolong's speech, which obviously has its inevitability.

Second, clearly, this speech is a comprehensive mobilization of Hong Kong society. Its background is the threat of "economic decoupling" between China and the United States mentioned in the previous section by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. It reflects the intense collision between China and the United States again based on the "showdown" level after the US side played tricks and "changed its face" again.

Third, in combination with the process of Hong Kong's transition from chaos to order and the current situation in Hong Kong mentioned in Director Xia Baolong's speech, we believe that if the Western evil forces launch cyber warfare, it may lead to further turmoil in Hong Kong (the Trump administration threatened to delist Chinese companies listed in the United States, and Hong Kong is a likely destination for them. Therefore, this is one of the targets of their cyber warfare). The so-called "current situation in Hong Kong" has been clearly described by Director Xia Baolong in his speech: The social surface in Hong Kong seems calm, but there are undercurrents surging, and the security situation remains extremely severe and complex. Anti-China and anti-Hong Kong elements have not been eliminated. Some have fled abroad to cause trouble, and some have torn off the labels on their foreheads, disguised themselves as ordinary citizens, and lurked among the social crowd waiting for an opportunity to disrupt Hong Kong.

Fourth, just like "biological and chemical warfare", Oriental Current Affairs Analysis has always believed that since the Western evil forces have invested a large amount of manpower, material resources, and financial resources in researching "cyber warfare", it is not just for show, but for use on a certain day. Therefore, against the backdrop of US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's arrogant threats of "economic decoupling" between China and the United States, we cannot rule out the possibility of her launching "cyber warfare" against China. In a sense, due to historical reasons, Hong Kong is the weakest link in China's national security (for example, many in Hong Kong's financial system do not use domestic operating systems).

Fifth, Director Xia Baolong's speech is also a solemn warning to the Western evil forces by the international community. Even on the Hong Kong issue, our determination to resolutely fight against the Western evil forces remains unwavering. And we believe that based on the National Security Law of the People's Republic of China, coupled with the support of the Hong Kong government baptized by the anti-Hong Kong riots, the Hong Kong Garrison, and the strong backing of the people across the country, we have the confidence to achieve the final victory!

It should be added that our assessment of the possibility of the Western evil forces launching "cyber warfare" is not unfounded.

Recently, the Harbin Public Security Bureau announced the public arrest warrant for three special agents of the US National Security Agency (NSA). It is worth noting that in the relevant news reports, the cyber attack methods adopted by the other side were detailed, such as during the Asian Winter Games, the US National Security Agency (NSA) sent unknown encrypted bytes to specific devices based on the Microsoft Windows operating system in Heilongjiang Province, suspected of awakening or activating specific backdoors pre-reserved in the Microsoft Windows operating system, etc.

● After this battle, in the eyes of many countries, China has become a superpower with the strength to counterbalance US world hegemony, especially its financial hegemony.

Finally, it should be added that one of the main reasons that ultimately forced the Trump administration's "tariff war" to go off script was the continuous internal strife in the United States. After this battle, in the eyes of many countries, China has become a superpower with the strength to counterbalance US world hegemony, especially its financial hegemony. Even though some countries are suspicious and fearful of China and still regard it as the biggest potential enemy, in order to resist the atrocities of the US empire and ensure that their core interests are not damaged, they have flocked to China. This trend is precisely reflected in the previous remarks of former US Secretary of State Blinken. On April 9, former US Secretary of State Blinken said in an interview that the "tariff war" sends a message to the world that the United States cannot be relied on or trusted. The ultimate result is that other countries will find ways to bypass us and stay away from us, which is not good for us.

Argentina is a typical example.

Interestingly, previously, Argentine President Milei, known as the "Argentine Trump", re-evaluated the Argentina-China and Argentina-US relations through the process and outcome of the Sino-US "tariff war" when he was in a situation where he "didn't know the cost of living until he was in charge". Ironically, it was the Central Bank of Argentina, now seemingly led by the "number one anti-Trump figure in Argentina", that issued a statement on April 10 local time, before US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's visit to Argentina, announcing that it had reached an agreement with the People's Bank of China to renew the currency swap agreement.

Besides Argentina, there is another country that has profited handsomely from the Sino-US "tariff war" - Brazil.

On April 10, Brazilian Minister of Mines and Energy Silveira said that the trade war triggered by Trump was an "opportunity" for Brazil. He, who is about to lead a delegation to visit China, is actively seeking cooperation with companies such as Huawei and BYD in the field of energy storage. Similarly ironic is that in order to continue exporting soybeans to China while bypassing Trump's tariff policy, many US-produced soybeans had to accept the "middleman markup" and be labeled as "originating from Brazilian soybeans" for re-export to China.

Regarding the issue of US agricultural products being transshipped to China through other countries, such as Brazil, China is probably well aware of it. Although the loophole is not closed for the time being, measures are being taken. For example, by using Brazilian "middlemen" to pressure US soybean farmers to lower prices as a counter-pressure on the Trump administration. If the Trump administration continues to go its own way, it is not excluded that one day, even this loophole will be completely closed!

In fact, there are only two paths in front of the Trump administration: The first path is that if the Trump administration still thinks it has the ability and tries to talk to China from the perspective of strength, then come on! As the saying goes: If the United States dares to die, China dares to bury; The second path is to surrender and stop making meaningless struggles. After all, it's better to live badly than to die well. And this does not conflict with the "get-rich dream" that Trump and the "Trump camp" have been longing for.

<

 

Disclaimer: In case of any discrepancies in the specific content, please refer to the 'Eastern Current Affairs Interpretation Audio' for the most accurate information.

 

原文作者公众号:

广州市贯日翻译服务有限公司为东方时评-衍射传媒/衍射咨询提供翻译支持

翻译请联系http://www.en-ch.com/chcontact.htm

手机微信13924166640

广州市越秀区环市东路世界贸易中心大厦南塔24楼 020-86266990